This has been a banner year for Olivia Rodrigo. The pop singer-songwriter returned with her new record, “Guts.” The album follows up her highly successful debut, “Sour,” which earned Rodrigo two number one-hits and two additional top-10s. “Sour” was a critical and commercial success, and won Rodrigo three Grammys including Best New Artist. This year “Guts” is looking to put Rodrigo back on the Grammy stage. It’s one of the year’s biggest records as well as one of the most acclaimed, scoring 91 on Metacritic. So now that Grammy voting is underway, where is Rodrigo going to compete for noms?
In the general field, Rodrigo is up for three awards. “Guts” is obviously up for Album of the Year. At the moment, it’s looking good for a nomination, and could end up win-competitive as well if voters love it as much as critics have. Meanwhile, Rodrigo submitted “Vampire” for both Record and Song of the Year. Again, there’s a pretty good chance she gets into both categories with “Vampire” being one of the defining hits of this eligibility period.
Moving over to pop, like with “Sour,” Rodrigo is only in contention for two awards. Predictably, “Guts” will be competing in Best Pop Vocal Album, just like its predecessor. The record should be locked in for a nom there and will make Rodrigo one of the few artists to get her first two albums nominated in the category, joining Billie Eilish and Norah Jones. Rodrigo is also being considered for Best Pop Solo Performance, once again for “Vampire.” Rodrigo won both of these categories in 2021, for “Drivers License” and “Sour,” respectively.
But the biggest surprises in Rodrigo’s submissions come outside of those two aforementioned fields. Rodrigo will venture for the first time into rock, with her acclaimed album track “Ballad of a Home-Schooled Girl.” The track is on the ballot in two categories: Best Rock Performance and Best Rock Song. If she gets nominated in either, she’d be a rare pop-rock crossover: stars like Kelly Clarkson, Demi Lovato, and Miley Cyrus have previously tried to get into the rock field, but missed. Granted, Rodrigo might have more cred among rock voters, with “Guts” being a full-on pop-rock record.
Rodrigo’s only other potential nomination is for Best Music Video, where she opted for the third single, “Get Him Back!” which has a colorful and fun visual filmed in collaboration with Apple.
It’s likely that Rodrigo gets most of these noms. If she does, she will solidify her status as a Grammy darling, and not just a passing fad for the recording academy. But the bigger question will be whether she can take any more Grammys home, or if she’ll face the same fate as Eilish and Lil Nas X, who were both shut out in their sophomore eras at these awards.
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